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Method library

The method library gathers what this environment is built on: guides to the software and the ecosystem, and articles on the method itself. It is open — no account needed.

Quick start

Demo — browse an example panel without an accountEcosystem map — which part does whatThe whole guide collection as one PDF

Where to start

One library, five entrances. Pick the role you have in this study; the choice binds nothing and hides nothing.

Researcher

You design the study: orientation, framing the phenomenon, theses and the panel.

Facilitator

You run the panel: rounds, phases, anonymity and steering the conversation.

Panelist

You take part in the panel: you answer, give your reasoning, read others' reasoning and may change your mind.

Analyst

You read the material: the DAE pipeline, the quality gates and the reports.

Developer partner

You build on top: the ecosystem interfaces, the two hinges and plugins.

Guides

Guides in three languages. Each one is readable in the browser; most also come as a PDF, slides and PowerPoint. The list on this page is read from the guide collection's own index — so it cannot fall behind the collection.

Ecosystem overview

What each part does, how they connect, and how to use each one alone. Start here.

Integration: Plan → Pronoia → DAE

The whole arc end-to-end: three stages, two ecosystems and the two handoffs that join them.

Delphi variations

Delphi variations

The four base Delphi variations (Argument, Classic, Real-Time and Barometer Delphi) — what each is and when to use it — plus the ready-to-run templates that instantiate a variation and panel for different purposes.

Real-Time Delphi — how to run one

A one-open-round Delphi in practice: what the software does for you, what you follow when there is no round-to-round comparison, and what simply does not exist in an RTD study.

Planning (DPE)

Orientation, variation and question architecture

The locked starting choices of a study design: orientation (N/S/R/E/D/D+), variation, scoping the phenomenon, and the structure of the theses.

Building the panel: epistemic space, perspective and gates

The panel as a designed epistemic space: the matrix, the perspective layer, the Perspective Health Score, epistemic coverage and the quality gates before collection.

Simulation: the Argument Simulator (Route B)

Synthetic argumentation when no real panel exists: the orientation-aware Argument Simulator, its six phases and a worked example.

Building the Delphi panel

How the ecosystem designs a Delphi panel: the two-axis matrix as the primary structure, context-dependent axes, roles in cells, the Hautamäki perspective layer, AI panels and their description standard, and the computational panel diagnostics (coverage, PDI, lock-in, PHS) that check a panel before data collection begins.

Facilitation (Pronoia)

The iterative process: rounds, phases and convergence

How a Delphi study advances in Pronoia: the lifecycle, the phases inside a round, controlled feedback, the presets, and deciding when to iterate and when to close.

Anonymity: identity modes and group reporting

How Pronoia protects panelist anonymity: three identity modes, AI disclosure, k≥3 group reporting, matrix-based group comparison, and pointers to the working guides for role play and the QR one-shot poll.

How Delphi Pronoia's two interfaces are built

Two interfaces onto one running study: what the panelist sees, what the facilitator sees, and why they differ.

The panelist's process, round by round

The panelist's path through a round: responding, dialogue, revision, and what is visible at each stage.

The facilitator's process, from planning to handover

The facilitator's work round by round: the state card, the next step, the gates, and what each phase asks for.

Role play: a role in a box of the panel matrix

When role play suits a Delphi, how the facilitator builds it on the panel matrix, what the panelist sees, and how results are read by box.

One-shot poll at a seminar: QR code and anonymous answers

Running an anonymous one-shot poll in a hall: preparation, the QR code and presentation view, what to tell the room, disruptions, results and limits.

Taking part in the open Delphi study

A two-minute guide for anyone invited to Metodix's open Delphi study: what a round consists of, how anonymity works, and why the reasoning matters more than the rating.

The facilitator trial in five stages

A ten-minute tour for a trial user: the ready-made example study, reading what the panel says, editing theses, building a study of your own, and the limits of the trial.

Analysis (DAE)

DAE analysis: the pipeline, phases and quality gates

Interpretive analysis under quality gates: 21 checkpoints, eight phases, the trilogies and human review — where descriptive collection ends and interpretation begins.

Glossary

The ecosystem's key terms in one place.

Frequently asked questions (FAQ)

The most common questions about the ecosystem and how to use it.

Role quick-guides

One-page entry points for three roles: researcher, facilitator, developer-partner.

Slides and deep dive

Presentation slides are generated from the same source as the guides (per section + whole) — always current. Plus one worked example.

Articles

In preparation

The guides tell you how the software is used. The articles tell you why the method is what it is: what the choices in Delphi technique rest on, what is known about them and where they fail. The series are decided; the texts are not published yet.

The basics of Delphi

The background of the method, its three core assumptions — anonymity, iteration, feedback — and what research says about them.

Argumentative Delphi

Why the reasoning matters more than the mean, and how disagreement is read as a result rather than as noise.

Panel and perspective

Kinds of expertise, the coverage of perspectives, and what panel size actually decides.

AI in the panel

What an AI panelist is and is not, where it can be used and how it is marked in the data.

From data to interpretation

The analytical layers of DAE, the quality gates, and when a human has to be put back in the loop.

Scenarios and futures tables

How the panel's tensions become axes and axes become scenarios — and when they do not.

The wider method field: metodix.eu

The method library is bounded by this environment: Pronoia, the ecosystem modules and the Delphi method. The wider field of futures research methods, together with Metodix's experts and services, is presented on the company site.

metodix.eu →

Is something missing?

The method library grows as the software and the ecosystem grow. If you are looking for a guide that does not exist, tell us what you are looking for — it is the best way to influence the order of publication.

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